The Employment Report and The Rest of the Story
The jobs report yesterday stated that 430,000 jobs had been added. That sounds good to me. So, why did the Dow fall 323 points. When you look more carefully at the jobs-added number—430,000—you discover that only 41,000 of those jobs were added in the private sector, the sector that produces sellable goods and services; the remainder are public sector jobs—census jobs.
Currently, 564,00 people are employed as census takers. Compare that with the total of 480,000 people who work in all the electronic and appliance stores; the 456,300 people who work in the entire air transportation industry; the 557,000 utility workers nation-wide who keep the water, electricity, and natural gas flowing into your home; the 580,000 people who are involved in one way or another in residential construction.
What happens to the unemployment figure when the census takers have completed their counting?
The chart below from BusinessInsider clearly shows why the market was scared yesterday.
CHART OF THE DAY: The Scariest Job Chart Just Got Even Scarier
by Joe Weisenthal
We’ve dubbed this chart the “Scariest Job Chart Ever,” as it shows how the decline in employment is WAY uglier than in past recessions.
Calculated Risk has updated it with the latest numbers from this morning, and now it looks even scarier.
Why?
Check out the two red lines at the bottom. The solid one includes Census hiring, while the dotted line doesn’t include it.
What’s clear is that while we still have a rebound including Census hiring, we’re already flattening out on the dotted line. This is a shape not seen on the other lines, suggesting that the fall is extremely deep, and the recovery is shallow.

